"JacenRoe;c-1150130" wrote:
"Darlex11;c-1150065" wrote:
All I know is going 0 for 12 is FAR FAR FAR more common than going 12 of 12. I've seen 0 for 12 sims dozens of times. I have NEVER seen a 12 of 12 sim. Which, if you are following the odds monkeys saying RNG is RNG, then you should at least see that unicorn at least once. More and more I feel like it is weighted RNG, except it is not weighted in the users favor like companies like Blizzard do.
With 50/50 odds you should expect to see 0 for 12 as often as 12 for 12. But with 20/80 odds (which is the purple drop rate) then seeing 0 for twelve should be way more common. It always averages out to around 20%. So just keep simming. There is no conspiracy.
Exact figures are very easy to compute:
The odds of getting 12/12 are about 1 in 244 millions with a 0.2 chance of getting the drop
The odds of getting 0/12 are about 1 in 15
The odds of someone talking about probability actually knowing something about probability in these forums are about 1 in 10
