Simming in multiples of 6 is your overall best odds!

"NicWester;c-1149318" wrote:

"Barmuka_1;c-1149102" wrote:
I would share my secret but they may nerf it so imma stay quiet lol

I guarantee you they won't, because your strategy doesn't actually work.

So you're saying they've already nerfed it?! How rude!

12 is a multiple of 6 (12=6*2, for the math-challenged)
But then, so is 3 (=6*0.5)
Truth be told, any number is technically a multiple of 6

I should have payed more attention in engineering class. A computer cannot create a true random number, only quantum-computers will be able to do that. We even had to build a random number generator in laboratory and check how "random" it is. Thing is, it has a 'sequence' depending on its byte-size, and as soon as it consumes all numbers, the sequence will repeat itself. If I remember well mine was a 4-byte one, so I only had to check 16 occasions x 2 to validate it. I'm sure the game uses a more advanced one, and I'm not sure why I'm writing this because I have no clue how that sequence would affect gameplay. Eheheh.

"NicWester;c-1149318" wrote:

"LiamTheWise;c-1149052" wrote:

"NicWester;c-1148953" wrote:
Just do them all at once. It's all the same. Just confirmation bias mixed with good old fashioned superstition.

my superstition is when i only needed 1 more piece of gear or shard and it took my like a total of 15 pulls to get the one. i swear it always screws u when ur close lol

Actually that's your confirmation bias.

"Barmuka_1;c-1149102" wrote:
I would share my secret but they may nerf it so imma stay quiet lol

I guarantee you they won't, because your strategy doesn't actually work.

I've tried many different way and statically I get better pulls on 1 number than any other. Im mod farming like crazy and have noticed 1 number gives a color almost every time. However I've done more or less and work out all whites. So yeah imma stick to my strategy

I don't doubt you've tried many different ways. But have you tried many different ways to a statistically significant degree, then charted their success relative to equally-sized groups of other methods and against an equally-sized control group?

EDIT: Go ahead and make vague claims, but without showing your methodology and data, no one's going to believe you. Otherwise I can say that my secret sauce is to wait until I have 144, then buy two energy refreshes so I have 384, spend it all in one go, and it'll be a 5-pip gold speed arrow every time and MY claim will have more standing than yours, because at least mine can be tested.

"OnEMesSduPKiD;c-1149251" wrote:

"Corrog;c-1149237" wrote:
To me, it's about risk management. Yes, you can get lucky, and get 20/20 by simming 20 at once, but you can also go 0/20. To me, a 0/20 is more devastating than a 0/5. And the odds of rolling two 0/5 together is lower than rolling the odds of rolling 0/10 once.

They're actually exactly the same..

This cracked me up.

"LiamTheWise;c-1149052" wrote:

"NicWester;c-1148953" wrote:
Just do them all at once. It's all the same. Just confirmation bias mixed with good old fashioned superstition.

my superstition is when i only needed 1 more piece of gear or shard and it took my like a total of 15 pulls to get the one. i swear it always screws u when ur close lol

This is exactly what happens to me with gear and toon shards. Get about 2-3 away and the RNG rate turns into a 1-15 rate.

"kevsmart;c-1149265" wrote:
I swear people should be forced to take a course in statistics before being allowed to post on game forums.

@kevsmart
I have a degree in statistics and economics. My post was saying i cant believe people actually think there is a difference

"Bhaalor;c-1148847" wrote:
20 at once or nothing at all!

I agree, i dont want to get into a head game of rng. Max sim and move on with the day.

All I know is going 0 for 12 is FAR FAR FAR more common than going 12 of 12. I've seen 0 for 12 sims dozens of times. I have NEVER seen a 12 of 12 sim. Which, if you are following the odds monkeys saying RNG is RNG, then you should at least see that unicorn at least once. More and more I feel like it is weighted RNG, except it is not weighted in the users favor like companies like Blizzard do.