"Letareus;c-1901767" wrote:
I will endeavor to respect EA_Joz's wishes.
"Woodroward;c-1901273" wrote:
Very insufficient. The forums are where the elite people go. Finding ONLY 5 people that won without GG is not evidence that it is easy, not even close.
This part is completely on topic so I will address it fully. I never claimed that 7 starring Padme without Grievous would be easy. I do in fact believe it would be hard. Something can be hard but still be far from unlikely. My contention is that it's a viable option - difficult but far from unlikely to the extreme to which it was characterized.
And it was characterized as not merely unlikely, but unlikely to a very high degree with terms like "perfect RNG" and a "million attempts." First, it's at least 8 total people found in a brief search who were able to pull it off. 6 people replicated the attempt in the initial Reddit post in just a few days. That's more than enough to demonstrate that it's far from unlikely to an extreme - it doesn't take perfect RNG or a million attempts. If it was unlikely to the extent described, one would expect nobody would have been able to replicate the feat in the given timespan, or at most one. In addition, the reworks should significantly improve the likelihood of pulling it off without Grievous.
There are millions of people who play this game. It is installed several thousand times a day according a site I looked at. There are thousands of people on the forums. of those thousands you found 5. So less than 1% of the population is on the forums. Of those elite less than 1% players, less than 1% of them did it without GG.
A million to a thousand is a decrease by a magnitude of 3 or roughly .001. A thousand to single digits is a decrease by a magnitude of 3 or roughly .001.
.001 * .001 = .000001 or .0001% Your finding those 5 people who got it without GG is equivalent to showing that .0001% of the game population did it without GG (1 out of 1,000,000). It is evidence that it is extremely unlikely to get it without GG. Now if you had a whole thread where every response in it was people doing it without GG, that'd be another thing. Your evidence literally supports it being 1 in a million at this point.
Point is, your evidence is flimsy at best. Now please stop arguing with me, for the last time.
EDITED to clarify math.
