Thanks BGH22 for sticking with me this far. I do sincerely appreciate your efforts.
I rebooted the system, and now when I log into Origin and try to install WA, I get the error "you must be logged in as an administrator to continue." If anyone googles that error, they will see a lot of people complaining about this.
Of course I am already logged in as admin, and have UAC turned off. I have tried right-clicking Origin and starting it as admin, and also tried selecting the checkbox in compatibility settings, no difference.
I think at this stage I am done. I have wasted so many hours on this, and if by chance I got lucky and made it work I doubt I would want to play now.
Origin at first sounded like a convenience- I wouldn't have to worry about keeping track of my discs anymore (but God help me if I lost my Origin login password), but actually it's a buggy mess; it's really just DRM in disguise.
I do tech support for a living. If i'm having this much difficulty installing and running an inane game, I pity the casual user that has problems.