I reached level 939 a week ago and have been KEM farming the whole time since then. Being short of game cash, I avoided spending extra $ on a second or third choice from the prize boxes to get extra bonuts. Then I tried just clicking on the center box ONLY and guess what? You will almost always get 2 or 3 bonuts and only rarely get 1. If I happen to get 1 only, I then spend the $ to buy another box with a guarantee of 2 or 3 from that choice. It seems to pay off far better than randomly choosing the left or right prize boxes first. I'm sure this no great revelation to long-time 939ers but I thought it might help those new to the lofty heights of TSTO's maximum level.

For me its left and right where I get 2 or 3 donuts and 1 in the middle so most likely that is random for everyone.

I think this is mostly superstition and luck. When I hit 939, my strategy was always box 3 first, and then box 2 if I got 2 donuts or box 1 otherwise. This worked almost perfectly for well over a week. I was considering posting like you, and then it just stopped, and I was getting 1 donut non stop!I think the game is pretty well randomized here and we've likely all tried out various tactics. The odds of getting 1 donut on the first box you click is 1/3 and every strategy I've tried, in the long run, works out to this.Thanks for sharing in any case. If you are right or your strategy keeps giving you a better average, awesome! ... I'm permanently stuck on box 3 first thanks to my early experience.

The thing about random is it's random. There is no pattern, there is no best way to win. Carefully kept track of the three donut box for three weeks. It came out: 31.666 box left, 34.333 center box, 34.0009 right box. Same with the boxes from Maggie. Same with the dog track.Same with the go-kart track.

it's luck, plain and simple. there's no pattern i've found, and i've been doing for a LONG time.

"alapalme;1550519" wrote:I think this is mostly superstition and luck.^^Yes, this.This is sometimes referred to in the literature as the clustering illusion — the tendency to overestimate the importance of small runs, streaks, or clusters in large samples of random data.

939ers: Try Clicking the Center Box FIRST For a Better Payoff in Prize Box Bonuts.

spyder1952850
8 years ago
"KrustyBrand;1550929" wrote:
If anyone has any actual data bearing on this point, how about sharing it.

That is what I posted, forgot to add the % sign after the numbers. Corrected it should say 31.666%, left box 34.333% center box, 34.0009% right box. It was three weeks at 10 to 15 boxes per day. I think it was 275 sets.
1sflowers330
8 years ago
We perceive patterns because that is what humans do and odd-seeming runs of certain results happen because every set of boxes is selected at random at the time, and has zero bearing on what the next selection might be.

No pattern, just a record of the outcomes. Does your experience include recording any statistically significant number of outcomes or are you working off the perceived appearance of a normal distribution?

Given the number of bugs in this game, i'm amazed this group dismisses the possibility so easily. No one else has mentioned generating any hard data...

edit: I see spyder has commented while I was typing and has data.
stinkbugger
8 years ago
I have found that if I tug on one of my earlobes while simultaneously tapping a bonut box, I will get 3 donuts 1.58 out of 3 times. Try it!
daved7637397
8 years ago
"stinkbugger;1551130" wrote:
I have found that if I tug on one of my earlobes while simultaneously tapping a bonut box, I will get 3 donuts 1.58 out of 3 times. Try it!

:D
datasurgeon
8 years ago
Computers can not generate random numbers but i suspect EA developers use a simpler method. My wife acccount is one maggie short of my account. I have noticed that if my 3 donuts box is her 3 donut box.
I suspect that there is a very large table or an array with entries for each selection. This can also give the apperance of randomness but still in a controlable manner.
If it actually indexed by selecting a new entry for each player it would really be random as the players would be the random variable
For example, say we have 321,231,123 then the first person would get 321, the next 231 etc. If my observation is correct then the same person is getting 321 the first time 231 the second etc
teo47
8 years ago
I enjoy reading all the theories, but I maintain that if the assignment of the donuts to the boxes isn't done randomly (or pseudo-randomly as with a computer random number generator), that pattern would have been figured out a long, long, time ago and we'd all be getting three donuts every time on our first choice instead of still discussing this years after this element to the game was introduced.
1sflowers330
8 years ago
As stated, I don't believe theres a pattern, with the observed disparity in the distribution you can amend your choosing pattern to maximize return.
shawn59736
8 years ago
Lol. Just when ya think you figured it out... You didn't.
hackamacka1
8 years ago
It's totally random. Like someone else mentioned I never settle for 1 donut. I'll always open a 2nd box if I get 1 donut. Don't open any more when I get 2 or more. Works out pretty well for me.
adruralo
8 years ago
I've tried all sorts of patterns and come to the conclusion it's just pure luck to get 3 donuts first try.