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- That's pretty cool. Shame I beat the odds to not get one today, having tapped 300 times and not finding one...
- Yeah, free doughnuts :)
Skydude252 wrote:
The 1 in 200 odds probably means those are the odds, per tap, every time. Not that you're likely to get 1 in 200 taps. If that makes sense...
That's pretty cool. Shame I beat the odds to not get one today, having tapped 300 times and not finding one...kylstrk wrote:
exactly. just like Shiny pokemonSkydude252 wrote:
The 1 in 200 odds probably means those are the odds, per tap, every time. Not that you're likely to get 1 in 200 taps. If that makes sense...
That's pretty cool. Shame I beat the odds to not get one today, having tapped 300 times and not finding one...LPNintendoITA wrote:
I hope the donuts are easier to find :lol:kylstrk wrote:
exactly. just like Shiny pokemonSkydude252 wrote:
The 1 in 200 odds probably means those are the odds, per tap, every time. Not that you're likely to get 1 in 200 taps. If that makes sense...
That's pretty cool. Shame I beat the odds to not get one today, having tapped 300 times and not finding one...
http://25.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lya4b9ftwQ1qg0dcvo1_500.gifLPNintendoITA wrote:
kylstrk wrote:
exactly. just like Shiny pokemonSkydude252 wrote:
The 1 in 200 odds probably means those are the odds, per tap, every time. Not that you're likely to get 1 in 200 taps. If that makes sense...
That's pretty cool. Shame I beat the odds to not get one today, having tapped 300 times and not finding one...
Oh I understand what that means. Each one is an independent chance. Basically, the odds of NOT getting a donut for each chance are 99.5% if it's 1 in 200. The odds of getting zero donuts for 300 taps is the product of each independent observation (I'm forgetting stats terms, been a while since I took a class), which comes out to 22.2292%. Which means that supposedly, if you visit 100 friends every day, you should get at least one donut 77.7708% of the time.
If the 1 in 200 odds are accurate.- Thanks for the confirmation reminder. I had to turn mine back on.
Skydude252 wrote:
LPNintendoITA wrote:
kylstrk wrote:
exactly. just like Shiny pokemonSkydude252 wrote:
The 1 in 200 odds probably means those are the odds, per tap, every time. Not that you're likely to get 1 in 200 taps. If that makes sense...
That's pretty cool. Shame I beat the odds to not get one today, having tapped 300 times and not finding one...
Oh I understand what that means. Each one is an independent chance. Basically, the odds of NOT getting a donut for each chance are 99.5% if it's 1 in 200. The odds of getting zero donuts for 300 taps is the product of each independent observation (I'm forgetting stats terms, been a while since I took a class), which comes out to 22.2292%. Which means that supposedly, if you visit 100 friends every day, you should get at least one donut 77.7708% of the time.
If the 1 in 200 odds are accurate.
So per 870 possible taps daily, on average how many doughnuts would you say we well get/day?- Do ut confirmation was still on. As always.
Wijsheid wrote:
Do ut confirmation was still on. As always.
I know, it's weird, some peoples seem to switch off after an update but mine never has. Maybe it's what device you are on? Still a good reminder, thanks
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