Donuts from FP!, Spuckler kids animation and DONUT CONFIRMATION BUTTON REMINDER

LPNintendoITA wrote:
REMIND TO CHECK DONUT CONFIRMATION BUTTON.

I'm still pretty new to the game, so thanks for the head's up! Went and checked that bad boy.

OnePoundBeef wrote:

Skydude252 wrote:

LPNintendoITA wrote:

kylstrk wrote:

Skydude252 wrote:
That's pretty cool. Shame I beat the odds to not get one today, having tapped 300 times and not finding one...

The 1 in 200 odds probably means those are the odds, per tap, every time. Not that you're likely to get 1 in 200 taps. If that makes sense...

exactly. just like Shiny pokemon

Oh I understand what that means. Each one is an independent chance. Basically, the odds of NOT getting a donut for each chance are 99.5% if it's 1 in 200. The odds of getting zero donuts for 300 taps is the product of each independent observation (I'm forgetting stats terms, been a while since I took a class), which comes out to 22.2292%. Which means that supposedly, if you visit 100 friends every day, you should get at least one donut 77.7708% of the time.

If the 1 in 200 odds are accurate.

So per 870 possible taps daily, on average how many doughnuts would you say we well get/day?

Where do you get the 870 taps daily? 100 friends x 3 taps per friend = 300 taps daily. Which means that you should average out to 10-11 donuts per week (.5% x 2100 taps). It will likely be a little higher for some lucky folks, a little lower for people like me. Also, uncertain whether it's 1 in 200 per tap or per total visit to a friend.

Skydude252 wrote:

OnePoundBeef wrote:

Skydude252 wrote:

LPNintendoITA wrote:

kylstrk wrote:

Skydude252 wrote:
That's pretty cool. Shame I beat the odds to not get one today, having tapped 300 times and not finding one...

The 1 in 200 odds probably means those are the odds, per tap, every time. Not that you're likely to get 1 in 200 taps. If that makes sense...

exactly. just like Shiny pokemon

Oh I understand what that means. Each one is an independent chance. Basically, the odds of NOT getting a donut for each chance are 99.5% if it's 1 in 200. The odds of getting zero donuts for 300 taps is the product of each independent observation (I'm forgetting stats terms, been a while since I took a class), which comes out to 22.2292%. Which means that supposedly, if you visit 100 friends every day, you should get at least one donut 77.7708% of the time.

If the 1 in 200 odds are accurate.

So per 870 possible taps daily, on average how many doughnuts would you say we well get/day?

Where do you get the 870 taps daily? 100 friends x 3 taps per friend = 300 taps daily. Which means that you should average out to 10-11 donuts per week (.5% x 2100 taps). It will likely be a little higher for some lucky folks, a little lower for people like me. Also, uncertain whether it's 1 in 200 per tap or per total visit to a friend.

Think I got confused with the total amount of friend points you can get per day.
Thanks, though!

Skydude252 wrote:

OnePoundBeef wrote:

Skydude252 wrote:

LPNintendoITA wrote:

kylstrk wrote:

Skydude252 wrote:
That's pretty cool. Shame I beat the odds to not get one today, having tapped 300 times and not finding one...

The 1 in 200 odds probably means those are the odds, per tap, every time. Not that you're likely to get 1 in 200 taps. If that makes sense...

exactly. just like Shiny pokemon

Oh I understand what that means. Each one is an independent chance. Basically, the odds of NOT getting a donut for each chance are 99.5% if it's 1 in 200. The odds of getting zero donuts for 300 taps is the product of each independent observation (I'm forgetting stats terms, been a while since I took a class), which comes out to 22.2292%. Which means that supposedly, if you visit 100 friends every day, you should get at least one donut 77.7708% of the time.

If the 1 in 200 odds are accurate.

So per 870 possible taps daily, on average how many doughnuts would you say we well get/day?

Where do you get the 870 taps daily? 100 friends x 3 taps per friend = 300 taps daily. Which means that you should average out to 10-11 donuts per week (.5% x 2100 taps). It will likely be a little higher for some lucky folks, a little lower for people like me. Also, uncertain whether it's 1 in 200 per tap or per total visit to a friend.

It also includes cleaning up graffiti in your own town, but that still doesn't add up to 870.

when tapped the Spuckler kids has animations now
Whitney: Plays a bass like instrument
Dubya: Sits down and plays a makeshift drum.
Birthday: Plays a coat hanger.

LPNintendoITA wrote:
when tapped the Spuckler kids has animations now
Whitney: Plays a bass like instrument
Dubya: Sits down and plays a makeshift drum.
Birthday: Plays a coat hanger.

Nice! Can't wait to birth my first!

TSTOTopix: Upon further reading of the code, it looks like you only get the chance for donuts after getting all of the Friend Level Prizes. Makes sense, keeps you visiting friends after you get them all. Sorry for getting everyone’s hopes up! :(

mbemom wrote:

Wijsheid wrote:
Do ut confirmation was still on. As always.

I know, it's weird, some peoples seem to switch off after an update but mine never has. Maybe it's what device you are on? Still a good reminder, thanks

I know it switches off if you do a full uninstall. So people waiting for the update think they need to fully uninstall in hopes of downloading the new update. So there's that.

I've never seen it switch during an update.

LPNintendoITA wrote:
when tapped the Spuckler kids has animations now
Whitney: Plays a bass like instrument
Dubya: Sits down and plays a makeshift drum.
Birthday: Plays a coat hanger.

They did from the beginning. It's now new to this update.

LPNintendoITA wrote:
when tapped the Spuckler kids has animations now
Whitney: Plays a bass like instrument
Dubya: Sits down and plays a makeshift drum.
Birthday: Plays a coat hanger.

Err, they've always done that for me... :?