Forum Discussion
TimeHorse
11 years agoSeasoned Newcomer
I take it the official odds are as follows:
Bucket 1:
Clause Co / 275 Gift Cards
156/10041
Bucket 2:
Brown House / Purple House / Pink House / Orange House / Cash
2022/10041
Bucket 3:
Yeti / 250 Gift Cards
168/10041
Bucket 4:
Flanders / Van Hauten / White / Muntz / Skinner / Cash
2022/10041
Bucket 5:
Helter Shelter / 225 Gift Cards
225/10041
Bucket 6:
Simpsons / Cletus / Blue / Willie's / Krabapple / Cash
2022/10041
Bucket 7:
Vishnu / 225 Gift Cards
225/10041
Bucket 8:
Marge / Maggie / Homer / Snowball / 50 Gift Cards
1348/10041
Bucket 9:
Mr. Plow / Plow King / 100 Gift Cards
505/10041
Bucket 10:
Lisa / Grandpa / Bart / Dog / 50 Gift Cards
1348/10041
If you already have the item and it's not a Snowman, that item will be removed and the next in the list will be added; Snowmen will always be there because you can always have more than one. Folks who add house lights from the last time around still get the Skinner House Lights because they weren't available back then and I already had the Scorpio Volcano Lights so I don't know which bin those go in. Probably in Bucket 2 but not sure at what level and would only be available if you bought the Volcano.
So if you're like me and need Clause Co, the Yeti, Plow King and Vishnu, your odds of getting any of those four are (156+168+225+505)/10041 about 10.50% or and of getting Cash when nothing you have all but that: 6066/10041 or about 60.41%.
Using my math from before, the odds of not getting something I want in 1 spin are about 89.50%. And the likelihood of nothing after 11 spins is about 29.53%, meaning there's about a 70.47% that in 11 spins I'd get at least one of them. Not astronomical odds, and certainly in the realm of reason, but just goes to show sometimes you get the bear, sometimes the bear gets you!
Bucket 1:
Clause Co / 275 Gift Cards
156/10041
Bucket 2:
Brown House / Purple House / Pink House / Orange House / Cash
2022/10041
Bucket 3:
Yeti / 250 Gift Cards
168/10041
Bucket 4:
Flanders / Van Hauten / White / Muntz / Skinner / Cash
2022/10041
Bucket 5:
Helter Shelter / 225 Gift Cards
225/10041
Bucket 6:
Simpsons / Cletus / Blue / Willie's / Krabapple / Cash
2022/10041
Bucket 7:
Vishnu / 225 Gift Cards
225/10041
Bucket 8:
Marge / Maggie / Homer / Snowball / 50 Gift Cards
1348/10041
Bucket 9:
Mr. Plow / Plow King / 100 Gift Cards
505/10041
Bucket 10:
Lisa / Grandpa / Bart / Dog / 50 Gift Cards
1348/10041
If you already have the item and it's not a Snowman, that item will be removed and the next in the list will be added; Snowmen will always be there because you can always have more than one. Folks who add house lights from the last time around still get the Skinner House Lights because they weren't available back then and I already had the Scorpio Volcano Lights so I don't know which bin those go in. Probably in Bucket 2 but not sure at what level and would only be available if you bought the Volcano.
So if you're like me and need Clause Co, the Yeti, Plow King and Vishnu, your odds of getting any of those four are (156+168+225+505)/10041 about 10.50% or and of getting Cash when nothing you have all but that: 6066/10041 or about 60.41%.
Using my math from before, the odds of not getting something I want in 1 spin are about 89.50%. And the likelihood of nothing after 11 spins is about 29.53%, meaning there's about a 70.47% that in 11 spins I'd get at least one of them. Not astronomical odds, and certainly in the realm of reason, but just goes to show sometimes you get the bear, sometimes the bear gets you!
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