How many FC Points are needed for a TOTY player?

Well, as for as i know, They haven't mention any sort of fixed number of FC points in order to get a TOTY player.

It was sarcasm.

Mate you can’t even use the players you get from packs to use in sbcs now so literally getting untradeable cards mostly duplicates and can’t do nothing with them

I'm poor at maths but i asked ai to work how how many packs it might take to have a chance of a TOTY card. results of what it said below.

Case 1: Pack odds p=1%=0.01

• 50% chance of at least one TOTY

n=ln⁡(1−0.5)ln⁡(1−0.01)=ln⁡(0.5)ln⁡(0.99)≈−0.6931−0.01005≈69

So: ~69 packs for a 50% shot.

• 90% chance of at least one TOTY

n=ln⁡(1−0.9)ln⁡(1−0.01)=ln⁡(0.1)ln⁡(0.99)≈−2.3026−0.01005≈229

So: ~229 packs for a 90% shot.

Case 2: Pack odds p=0.5%=0.005

• 50% chance

n=ln⁡(0.5)ln⁡(0.995)≈−0.6931−0.00501≈138

~138 packs for 50%.

• 90% chance

n=ln⁡(0.1)ln⁡(0.995)≈−2.3026−0.00501≈460

~460 packs for 90%.

Case 3: Pack odds p=0.1%=0.001

• 50% chance

n=ln⁡(0.5)ln⁡(0.999)≈−0.6931−0.0010005≈693

~693 packs for 50%.

• 90% chance

n=ln⁡(0.1)ln⁡(0.999)≈−2.3026−0.0010005≈2,300

~2,300 packs for 90%.

So what’s “realistic”?

Since most standard packs show “\<1%” for TOTY, a rough realistic range is:

• If odds are around 1%: ~70 packs → ~50% chance ~230 packs → ~90% chance
• If odds are closer to 0.5% or lower: You’re looking at 100–150+ packs just to get near 50%, and 400–500+ for ~90%.

There is no number of packs that guarantees a TOTY (you never hit a true 100%), but if by “guarantee a chance” you mean “I want to be heavily favoured”, then:

• I’d call ~200–250 packs the point where, at 1% odds, you’re realistically “expected” to have seen one, but still not safe.
• At worse odds (0.5% or less), even that becomes shaky.