Forum Discussion

6 years ago

Are Drop Rates Rigged?!

Lately, I've found some interesting results regarding drop rates, and I'm wondering whether it's my account's problem, or is it natural. Mk5 AKT Stun Gun Salvage (Dark 8B): Farmed 180. Drop rate: Nev...

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Whatelse73

Seasoned Ace

6 years ago

"cannonfodder_iv;c-2081984" wrote:
I just flipped a coin 10 times and it was tails 9 of them. I did it with a different coin, and I got 7 heads and 3 tails. I think my coins are rigged since it should have been 50/50.

In reality, welcome to probability theory and the Law of Large Numbers. I have 30 more Young Lando shards than Falcon shards, yet they're farmed on the same node? Rigged, or just my sample size?

In probability theory, the law of large numbers (LLN) is a theorem that describes the result of performing the same experiment a large number of times. According to the law, the average of the results obtained from a large number of trials should be close to the expected value and will tend to become closer to the expected value as more trials are performed.

Actually with coins you are a little more likely to get tails because the heads side is heavier than the tails side.