Do we have a documented drop chance percentage?

But what? 3 days, that's it? I've gone 10 days needing 2 shards to 7 star a character before. Also, in Cantina, there are no shards for 144 Cantina credits. For character shards they're 400 for 5 shards of set characters in Cantina Shop, they don't change. Now if you mean getting 2-3 shards in Shipments for 150 crystals, that's cause they're easy to farm. Both Ezra and KRU are in easy Cantina Battles (like 8 cantina energy for 1 battle), which means they're easy to farm. So yes, 150 CRYSTALS for 2-3 shards would be right since they're easily accessible.

He means energy. 144 cantina energy.

I think we notice the negative things a lot more than the positive when we’re farming.
This morning I could be complaining that I’ve had no Sion, Visas or Captain Han shards from over 20 battles but then I sat there and realised I got 6 MK8 Security Scanners from 11 fleet battles.

Many people have recorded the drop rates for a proper sample size (45 is on the low side) and stated they see an average drop rate of 33%. There has not been anyone who has done this that has shown any particular deviation from this, at any point i.e. - when hitting 7*.here is one of the more recent posts about drop rates I could find.

"EduardoCadav;c-1619987" wrote:
Sure thing, it's not a very clear way of presenting it, sorry. I added two columns that should help, the per battle drop rate as a % and the exact character node.

Hard nodes (5 battles a day)
energy | Shards Collected | days farming | delta (days) | per battle rate | Character

• 20 | 55 | 34 | -0.7 | 32.4% | Holdo
  
• 12 | 46 | 30 | -2.1 | 30.1% | Hoth Soldier
  
• 12 | 41 | 30 | -5.2 | 27.3% | Sabine
  
• 20 | 78 | 46 | +1.3 | 33.9% | Shoretrooper
  
• 20 | 24 | 14 | +0.5 | 34.3% | Wicket
  
• 20 | 23 | 14 | -0.1 | 32.9% | Baze
  

In terms of the time frame the OP mentioned the last 5 weeks. By coincidence I started these 6 farms right about that time. The "days farming" number is the number of days up to today of course so from just over 5 weeks for shore and two weeks for wicket and baze.

Hopefully that's more clear. On it's own I wouldn't want to predict the drop rate from such a small amount of data but together with a very strong prior from previous more extensive tracking indicating a drop rate of 30%-33% the numbers I'm seeing suggest no change. Hope it's helpful ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ sorry you seem to be seeing lower.

EDIT to add answer to question about ships: I'm only using ship energy for gear and I don't track any gear drops just hit sim and pray ;)

Thanks for the responses everyone. I wanted to come back in with an update. First of all yes, I meant cantina energy and even though they are "easy to farm", 3 more days...each day 144 cantina energy...1 ezra shard. I did take into consideration the positive keeping track of my other good things. I received a lot of mkll ability pads and training droids. I'm also trying to work on Talzin...I think I'll have her at 7* by next year. IMO, the developers have a system in place that pushes toward spending your crystals on retries and bulk purchases. Sure, it's free to play, but you'll be way behind and you'll never see "the top". I like the game and the theory crafting, but I guess I'll just slow it down and accept the pace.