"7AnimalMother;c-1963961" wrote:
"Nikoms565;c-1963542" wrote:
"7AnimalMother;c-1963284" wrote:
These threads are pointless.
Neither the people arguing that they changed or didn't change have any evidence to back it up.
The only people who have any evidence is the employees at EA (and likely very few of them at that).
Everything in this game is done at EA's whim. By playing this game, you are essentially agreeing to take at face value whatever they state drop rates are.
Could they advertise "double drops" and then halve the drop rate? Absolutely they could. They are not regulated for gambling, so they have no independent auditors overseeing them.
Would they do it? Who knows... Anyone who makes a freemium game is at least a little scummy in my mind, so I wouldn't put it past them. Couple the profit motive with no oversight, and I could certainly see it.
But if they did, it doesn't matter because you can't prove it. As others have pointed out, the data of 20, 40, or even a 100 people on the forum isn't a sufficient sample size to prove anything given a player base somewhere around a million or more.
Search is your friend. Entire guilds have tracked drop rates - and yes, during "double drops" and events. When people track the data over a decent enough sample size, the results and drop rates are always the same - 30-33% for shards, 20% for gear (purple anyway). ALWAYS.
Add to that fact (yes, fact) that the developers have repeatedly stated that drop rates don't change. Ever.
There's a lot of things that CG /EA do with this game that I am not necessarily a fan of - but they don't manipulate drop rates. And people who suggest they do are simply too lazy to actually track the data over a respectable sample size.
If you say so. Search seems to just find a lot more anecdotal evidence and confirmation bias one way or the other, so I think your talking out of your butt.
Bottom line. We all play at EA's whim; so it doesn't matter.
You can trust your fellow players that have crowd sourced the data or not, but the data is out there for those who don't refuse to take off the tin foil hat
16000 sim data set, 95% confidence interval of 32%-34% on character shards. If you go to the google sheet listed in the first comment, you will find their 126000 sim data set which has a 95% confidence interval of 33.15-33.67.
https://www.reddit.com/r/SWGalaxyOfHeroes/comments/ckb8kn/character_shards_droprate_15k_observations/
Much smaller sample, but this is Cantina specific showing a 33% drop rate over 2700 attemtps
https://www.reddit.com/r/SWGalaxyOfHeroes/comments/5uywkd/cantina_drop_rates_a_75_day_and_counting_study/
First comment here has 17k, 34k, and 6k attempts at purple (20 item and 50 item) and gold gears, plus a bonus tracking of Stun guns.
https://www.reddit.com/r/SWGalaxyOfHeroes/comments/7zkm45/drop_rates_for_purple_gear/
