I think you’re being a little harsh suggesting OP doesn’t understand basic probability theory. After all, they’re not like the other guy who claims RNG is broken because he doesn’t win 2 or 3 out of 5 coin flips every single day.
Someone who has recorded winning 8/44 coin flips is entitled to ask if something is going on. After all, the probability of 8 (or less) successes out of 44 coin flips is around 0.001%.
That said, I’d be grateful ifAshur_Noah could confirm that their data is from mirror matches, where both he and his opponent have identical fleets with identical speed stats. Recording so few successes suggests to me that the data is for all fleet matches, even those where his fleet is facing a different fleet that has much higher speed values.
I do understand basic probability theory, statistics was an integral part of my Economics degree. I know it's theoretically possible to get 100 heads in a row and that each coin flip is independent of those before it.
Anyway, all the results above are mirror matches, my Piett is R8, Executor 192 speed, I can't swear that the 44 results above are all against 192 Executors although I do my best to avoid battles with R9 Pietts'. I'm going to record these more accurately going forward.
Today I was 1 of 3 against other 192 Executors, I did find someone with a 191 Executor and obviously I went first.
I'm just going to have to get my Piett up to R9.
Thank you for the replies, I do understand it better now.
