Farm BH ships is unsettling
I have been farming BH ships since the first Falcon came out and I have only got 7 * tooth, 39/100 xanadu and 0/100 IG .. It is the first time I will not get to 7 * after farming from the first launch...
Forum Discussion
"NicWester;c-1827142" wrote:"Mirkraag;c-1826960" wrote:
I got 0 shard for the past 4 days. Just got 1 today yepee.
Rng right ? But in 2,5 years playing i had several no shard streak but never full shard streak. So when you people says rng i dont bite it. It is not. Dont be foolish. It is intentionally reduced
Of course you haven't seen a full shard streak. Do the math some time and you'll see why.
Perception bias makes you expect 50/50 because that's what it looks like--either you get the shard or you don't, so 50/50, right? No. Go ahead and do the math on what the odds of getting 8 shards out of 8 tries at 33% is and then come back here.
I'll help you out:
0 shard streak = (2/3)^8 = 3.9%
8 shard streak = (1/3)^8 = 0.015%
So you are 260 times as likely to get 0 shards than 8.
