Forum Discussion
6 years ago
"Trystan_Spyder;c-1740727" wrote:"Grizz331;c-1740704" wrote:
Trystan doesn’t get it. It’s not about “doing your best” it’s about probability of winning with certain teams and hedging your bets based on what you need. If you know the only way you can win is a clean win with a team of 4 you’ll go with that even if you only have a 25% chance of success. If you don’t know if you need the extra points you won’t risk that.
That's the way YOU play it, sure. I've already explained that's not the way I do. And if the OP got his wish and the point tallies were hidden, you wouldn't be able to hedge your bets because you would have only the vaguest idea of where the opponent would end up.
The whole point is - I don’t want my opponent to be able to hedge his bets because if i go first, I can’t hedge my bets. My opponent goes in on a conditional probability setting, while i go in first with a full probability setting. Basic statistical knowledge already tells u your opponent has better odds.
And we are talking about this in an evenly matched scenario. Nobody cares if you are badly matched and can steamroll your opponent, because then the points don’t matter.
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