Right, I get that probability doesn’t equal outcome. You have a 16% chance of rolling a six but that also means you have an 84% of not rolling a six. But the probability doesn’t change with each roll, regardless of how many times you roll or don’t roll a six.The way others are talking about samples etc makes it sound like the probability does change with each roll.
Maybe the problem is I say drop rate thinking it means probability and I shouldn’t have because everyone else sees drop rate as statistical analysis of outcomes.