Recent drop rates

Moved to the appropriate sub forum. Feedback>LS/DS/Cantina Battles

"GoodOlMaurice;c-1225301" wrote:
Moved to the appropriate sub forum. Feedback>LS/DS/Cantina Battles

Thanks Maurice!
Sadly, I went 0-fer on shards today. :(

"Sel_See_Us;c-1226085" wrote:
I have used all my cantina energy for the last 36 hours, 2 sets of bo us energy, and 1 refresh. How is it possible that I got zero shards, running the same battle, in all that time? Starting to think rng is broken in cantina. Anyone else have this problem over the last 36 hours? I have never seen it this bad before! Been playing well over a year now. Just to clarify the math for everyone, 36 hours is 180 energy, 2 bonus energy sets is another 90, and 1 refresh for 122 energy, if I remember correctly. That is a total of 392 cantina energy spent on the same battle over the last 36 hours. I'm running Kylo's shard battle at 12 cantina energy per run, for a grand total of 32 attempts. If I stay with the math, and I finally get a shard on my next battle, that would make he drop rate 68% or less.......can that be right?

https://m.popkey.co/925ff5/Oo04a.gif
If you get a shard on your next battle, that will be 1 shard out of 33 attempts. 1/33 = 0.03 = 3%. Not sure how you came up with 68%.

so ... 100-32 = 68%?
The only way that number (68%) would prove to be true is if you gained 68 shards out of your next 68 attempts. That's not going to happen, but I wish you the best of luck in making that dream come true.
Look at it this way: if you get a shard on attempt 33, you will have had success only 1 time out of 33 tries. If this pattern holds and you try 33 more times, you will get one more shard. A final 33 attempts will give you another 1 shard. Total attempts = 99, total shards = 3.
That's basically 3 shards out of 100 tries. 3/100 = 3%

For homework tonight, take note of your drop rate over the next 33 attempts and report back. Odds are that you will get more than 1 shard. In fact, I would expect closer to 10 or more.

500 energy. 5 days in a row. 5 battles each day at 20 energy each. 0 shards for Nihilus.

I understand EA wants to make money but that kind of droprate is complete bullshit. No one says the packs are a good investment because EA has pathetically low droprate. 1299 crystals = 5 shards. No one pulls the 330. It's a deceitful practice.