Forum Discussion
9 years ago
"JoseIrimia;732511" wrote:"NicWester;732424" wrote:
Confirmation bias. There's no conspiracy.
That's the problem in this game. Many people just running up and down mindlessness saying "It's RNG" or "confirmation bias" to justify everything.
It took me to fully level JE way longer than what was expected if the rate of apperance were 1/3. So, it's not RNG. It's like the type/shape of mods or the raid gear, not all have the same probability of drop. In this game some event probability is not random.
Roll a die a thousand times and you'll see the same number come up in long sequences because there are only six possible results. There are half that many raid characters so you're going to see more frequent, even longer sequences.
When you have less than 400 guild currency you don't even look at the store, let alone spend crystals for refreshes, so you aren't seeing the data.
Finally, just to use my anecdotal experience, I was at 70/85 on JE yesterday when our raid ended and put me at ~1600 currency. Of the five shipments since then, four were JE.
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