The Daily reward system is a bit broken...

FluidEmotion wrote:

#4: Daily Bonus Mystery Box
Donuts/Premium Items can be obtained from the Mystery Box you get on the 5th day of the daily bonus. You have ~13% chance of getting a premium item or Donuts from a Mystery Box, and the Lemon Tree has a 10% chance of being pulled from the Mystery Box. The Donuts listed in (parentheses) is what you'll receive IF you already have the initial prize. So, if you already have Squeaky Voice Teen, you can't get him again. Instead, the reward is substituted with (Donuts).

Prize: / Odds:
Lemon Tree 10%
3 White Fences 4%
Bench with Towel 4%
10 Donuts 2%
Squeaky Voice Teen (30 Donuts) 2%
Homer Buddha 1%
30 Donuts 0,04%
Tire Fire (40 Donuts) 0,02%
Lard Lad Donuts 0,01%
Total 23,07%

These odds are borrowed from another thread by Simpsons00001, and the url is: http://forum.ea.com/eaforum/posts/list/9286548.page

Sorry, for making this a bit messy, but since I am not level 2, I cannot upload pics or use the proper BBcodes. The table for odds and prizes is in the form of a picture at the abovementioned url. Perhaps a level 2 forum user, or a mod could repost this post for me.

Anyway, as this table states, it is less than a 25% chance you get something good in your mystery box. If I were working in EA, I would jack up these chances to 33%. I would increase the odds of getting 10 donuts, Squeaky Voice Teen and Homer Buddha up to 3% each. And maybe add a few more items like Apple trees and Orange Trees and perhaps a chance of getting 5 donuts as well. You should win something good atleast every third box.

You have a big error with your math.

You can only get the Lemon Tree once. After that, its only $250, which not only is not worth 6 donuts but isn't even good on the daily bonus meter.

After that... its only a 15% chance of getting something worthwhile, not 25%.

Obvious solution... more Lemon Trees!

Actual solution... replace the Lemon Tree substitute with a better prize. Maybe $2500 instead of $250? Or a low donut cost premium item? Its still only a 10% pull... look at all the vets who haven't yet pulled the Lemon Tree the first time.

Seems like a simple solution code-wise, and would at least somewhat help the cr*p box problem.