4 years ago

What are the chances of you getting an heirloom in Apex Legends?

I've spent a decent amount of money on this game. I've always bought Apex packs so one day I could get a heirloom, but that day still hasn't came yet. I've bought around 200-250 packs and still nothing. Is it ever guaranteed after so many packs? Or, do you just have to be lucky? Olansi China

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RockDokRock
Seasoned Ace
4 years ago
I just saw this:
https://www.sportskeeda.com/esports/apex-legends-chances-getting-heirloom-shards#:~:text=Like%20the%20Heirloom%20gear%20before,in%20500%20chance%20to%20drop.
Apparantly it's a 1 in 500 chance (so that's .2%). I don't know if this is true, they may be assuming that as you get one after 500 this is how it works (It's not an EA source webpage).
Less than .5% but higher than I thought.
Anyone have any actual hard evidence on the odds? I've seen claims but not where people are getting these values from.
- DR
PangPangSheMen
4 years ago
Wait so what is the apex pack calculator for? It says how many packs you opened and the percentage of the possibility of a heirloom. So if it doesn't stack chances why does the calculator have a stack percentage?
PangPangSheMen
4 years ago
@DarthValtrex Then what does the apex pack heirloom calculator mean? When you input your battlepass tiers and levels, it calculates how many packs open & the percentage of receiving a heirloom in the next pack, if the odds doesn't stack then why is there a percentage at the apex pack calculator?
Cheese9Man
4 years ago
@PangPangSheMen I can't seem to find what you're talking about. Can you post a screenshot?
DarthValtrex
Hero (Retired)
4 years ago
@PangPangSheMen The apex pack pack calculator is third party software. People use it to guess or track the number of packs they have opened, so they can get an idea of how close they are to the 500 pack guarantee.
PangPangSheMen
4 years ago
@DarthValtrex Ok thank you, I was wondering why there was a percentage, I thought apex packs stacked where 250 packs opened = 50% for heirloom next pack.
PangPangSheMen
4 years ago
@Cheese9Man When you go to apex pack calculator https://mike.zarandona.com/coded/apex-packs-calc/ and input your level and battlepass tiers, it calculates how many packs opened and gives a percentage of the likeliness on you getting a heirloom on your next pack. So I thought packs stacked, 250 packs opened = 50% for heirloom on your next pack. But it doesn't look like the odds stack.
Cheese9Man
4 years ago
@PangPangSheMen That percentage does not represent your odds of getting an heirloom. That percentage is how far are you until you reach 500 packs (100%) which gives you the guaranteed heirloom shards. Yes the odds does not stack.
DarthValtrex
Hero (Retired)
4 years ago
@PangPangSheMen Nah, it would be really hard to set up an RNG that functioned like that. They would have to be removing prizes from the prize pool.

It's simpler and easier for Respawn to just do it this way. The only way they could increase the odds of getting heirloom like you suggest would be to remove items from the loot pool once you've received them. But instead of doing that, they give you crafting mats. So the odds always stay the same. Basically they would have to lock those items on the RNG and force it to skip up or down one item until the player had unlocked everything. There are numerous reasons for not doing that though.
PangPangSheMen
4 years ago
@Cheese9Man Okay thank you.