I’ve experienced the exact same results +300 drafts and only one 117 and two 116s — in over two months of grinding. My first two 116s came on my 100th and 200th drafts, respectively, so it’s obvious that the base probability is complete garbage when the 100th-draft guarantee is all that saves you. And the kicker, of course, is that the players I wound up with were not in the positions I most needed!
I’m equal parts depressed and livid. Depressed that I’ve spent more than a year building a competitive squad only to see it fall so far down the ranks in these past months, and livid at EA that it’s ALL their doing! They’ve demoted me (and tens of thousands of other users) to second-class citizenship overnight. I’m still just as skilled. I still put in just as much time, grinding every event, but I get less than ever before.
So, yeah, why not quit? What’s the point? Would love to hear EA speak to this.