this...https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/405757718780051467/560169114681868297/unknown.png

But, but, but you got 4 sim tickets..........That should ease the pain. I think CG realized there wasn't enough of a separation for the whales after JKR. I mean almost everyone got him at least by the second time around and had him maxed out. No real need for whaling. This time around the harpoons have been sharpened up.

True, I had forgotten about the sim tickets. ;)

Character shards have a 33% drop rate and purple gear has a 20% drop rateYou're in for a ride

"Ultra;c-1817001" wrote:Character shards have a 33% drop rate and purple gear has a 20% drop rateYou're in for a rideWe're "told" characters have a 33% drop rate on average. (meaning the collective character drop rate) That doesn't mean CG isn't turning down drop rates before and during events, or when they see the need to. I was getting 2-3 shards of Carth and Juhani a day leading up to this event. During this even I'm getting about 1 a day. I even tried refreshing Carth's node to do 16. Nope, out of 16 I only got 1 shard drop. Pretty much been that way for the last few days. A couple days I got zero of 8. I wasn't even expecting to get DR this time, but it doesn't mean my drop rate doesn't still suck.However, as I hear, the last time someone tried to do a "scientific" long-term drop rate study, they were told to "stop it!" by someone important. Why? Because drop rates get "massaged" from time to time.

"Whatelse73;c-1819265" wrote:We're "told" characters have a 33% drop rate on average. (meaning the collective character drop rate) That doesn't mean CG isn't turning down drop rates before and during events, or when they see the need to. I was getting 2-3 shards of Carth and Juhani a day leading up to this event. During this even I'm getting about 1 a day. I even tried refreshing Carth's node to do 16. Nope, out of 16 I only got 1 shard drop. Pretty much been that way for the last few days. A couple days I got zero of 8. I wasn't even expecting to get DR this time, but it doesn't mean my drop rate doesn't still suck.However, as I hear, the last time someone tried to do a "scientific" long-term drop rate study, they were told to "stop it!" by someone important. Why? Because drop rates get "massaged" from time to time.We're "told" by players of the game tracking drops over extended periods of time and large amounts of samples.AFAIK CG/EA has never come out and explicitly said what the drop rate is.But sure, take your sample size of 16 and cry conspiracy.

After terrible rng when farming OR characters...

homerjsolo
6 years ago
"Whatelse73;c-1824633" wrote:
"Ultra;c-1819615" wrote:
"Whatelse73;c-1819265" wrote:
"Ultra;c-1817001" wrote:
Character shards have a 33% drop rate and purple gear has a 20% drop rate

You're in for a ride
However, as I hear, the last time someone tried to do a "scientific" long-term drop rate study, they were told to "stop it!" by someone important. Why? Because drop rates get "massaged" from time to time.
I stopped using Facebook to avoid this kind of vague pulled out of thin air misinformation

I'm not a part of any SWGOH facebook group and what I said was stated by a game changer.....

Source?

Here is a very recent long(ish) term study documented in these very forums: https://forums.galaxy-of-heroes.starwars.ea.com/discussion/196365/new-old-republic-characters-drop-rates-day-28-completed/p1
firebrigade9
6 years ago
"jhbuchholz;c-1824635" wrote:
"Whatelse73;c-1824633" wrote:
"Ultra;c-1819615" wrote:
"Whatelse73;c-1819265" wrote:
"Ultra;c-1817001" wrote:
Character shards have a 33% drop rate and purple gear has a 20% drop rate

You're in for a ride
However, as I hear, the last time someone tried to do a "scientific" long-term drop rate study, they were told to "stop it!" by someone important. Why? Because drop rates get "massaged" from time to time.
I stopped using Facebook to avoid this kind of vague pulled out of thin air misinformation

I'm not a part of any SWGOH facebook group and what I said was stated by a game changer.....

Source?

Here is a very recent long(ish) term study documented in these very forums: https://forums.galaxy-of-heroes.starwars.ea.com/discussion/196365/new-old-republic-characters-drop-rates-day-28-completed/p1

I was literally just getting ready to link that. Nobody ever told any of them to stop tracking. I never posted my numbers, but they were consistent with everything in that post.
GladOS-013
Hero+
6 years ago
"Ascetic_Monkfish;c-1824543" wrote:

Assuming a drop rate of 1/3, it’s 0.67 to the power of 16, or roughly 0.0015.
That’s about 1 in 650 if you prefer it in gambling terms.

Unlikely, yes. Impossible, no.

Seems astronomically low!

Let's assume there are 1,000,000 players worldwide who play SWGOH. That means that each day, there are about 1,500 players who are likely to get this result. Suddenly, it doesn't seem like such an unreasonable number. The odds of it happening to a specific person on an individual day is very low, but such is life.
firebrigade9
6 years ago
"fletchmars;c-1824713" wrote:
Ive had greedo hit 8 times in a row with 85% crti chance two times in a row. Ive also had a character dodge my attack 4 times in a row (Without foresight). Rng is a crazy thing. Oh ive also had 7/8 a few times and never had 0/8 on hard node farms.

Never had 0/8!?
KyJoe_Cool
6 years ago
"fletchmars;c-1824713" wrote:
Ive had greedo hit 8 times in a row with 85% crti chance two times in a row. Ive also had a character dodge my attack 4 times in a row (Without foresight). Rng is a crazy thing. Oh ive also had 7/8 a few times and never had 0/8 on hard node farms.

"Firebrigade;c-1824745" wrote:
"fletchmars;c-1824713" wrote:
Ive had greedo hit 8 times in a row with 85% crti chance two times in a row. Ive also had a character dodge my attack 4 times in a row (Without foresight). Rng is a crazy thing. Oh ive also had 7/8 a few times and never had 0/8 on hard node farms.

Never had 0/8!?

"FolsomTony;c-1824814" wrote:
"fletchmars;c-1824713" wrote:
Ive had greedo hit 8 times in a row with 85% crti chance two times in a row. Ive also had a character dodge my attack 4 times in a row (Without foresight). Rng is a crazy thing. Oh ive also had 7/8 a few times and never had 0/8 on hard node farms.

You've never gone 0/8 on a hard node? We're playing different games.
javabeeker
6 years ago
yesterday I was farming a purple salvage gr piece for dengar on a normal node, went 1/24...seriously wrong, just makes me so annoyed
maddad2009
6 years ago
Surely if the game is profit making on odds on item/shard drops. There should be a set percentage rate and that should be permanent.
dkreknumone
6 years ago
"MntMan;c-1816707" wrote:
But, but, but you got 4 sim tickets..........

That should ease the pain.

I think CG realized there wasn't enough of a separation for the whales after JKR. I mean almost everyone got him at least by the second time around and had him maxed out. No real need for whaling. This time around the harpoons have been sharpened up.

Carrie publicly stated something along the lines of "not everyone had revan" 2nd time around and the numbers were below or right around where they expected... but it sure was not along the lines of WOW everyone has revan
Vaderizer
Seasoned Newcomer
6 years ago
Seven mk5 laptops, though! It's not like people are just sitting on hundreds of tho...

Ah, wait.
ddlooping2
New Spectator
6 years ago
Now farming Range Trooper...

Yesterday
https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/405757718780051467/563136773035655168/unknown.png

Today
https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/405757718780051467/563649450065526784/unknown.png

What are the chances?? :dizzy: