Drop Rate Reality

"Song;129279" wrote:
1 refilled in Cantina and did the Dooku mission got 3 shards out of 10. Seem correct. 30%

2 Refilled on regular energy and spend on node like 7B, 7C, on Dark/Light. got 2 shards that is 16%

So since the rate is allegedly 33%, yet there's so many folks claiming that they are well below that, where are the folks that are getting 40%? 50%? 60%? If there's so may running below average there must be some running above average, right? Seems people chime in to counter the poor drop rate thread with the fact they hit 30%. Is that the high water mark or the average??

Randall must be blowing team admin for those drop rates. Mine are no where near that. But this is " working as intended " " no drops have changed " lol I love it.

I personally think they set a quota so that you don't get over a specific amount of drops in a specific time period. It's most definitely not completely random chance

"Faff2D2;129291" wrote:

"Song;129279" wrote:
1 refilled in Cantina and did the Dooku mission got 3 shards out of 10. Seem correct. 30%

2 Refilled on regular energy and spend on node like 7B, 7C, on Dark/Light. got 2 shards that is 16%

So since the rate is allegedly 33%, yet there's so many folks claiming that they are well below that, where are the folks that are getting 40%? 50%? 60%? If there's so may running below average there must be some running above average, right? Seems people chime in to counter the poor drop rate thread with the fact they hit 30%. Is that the high water mark or the average??

If the % is 33%, you are more than twice as likely ro get 0 shards out of 3 than 2/3. In the end, fsctoring everything, it "seems" like you are more often below average than not, so it "feels" average is worse than it is. Never trust what you "feel" or see, your brain lies.

Case in example:
You try a hard node 100 times (300 attempts) You get 0 shards 30 times, get 1 shard 45 times, get 2 shards 20 times, get 3 shards 5 times. Total shards: 100. Total attempts 300. Average 33%. But you FREQUNTLY get 0 shards, while you RARELY get 3. So your brain register that you are below average more often than not. It is also easy to get lonher cold streaks thsn hit streaks (at best you can get 5 x3 in a row snd thst is unlikeky. With 30 times at 0 shards, cold streaks are likely) Even if you are perfectly average, you will "feel" you are not

"Ring;121270" wrote:

"AbysmalDarkside;12992" wrote:
For everyone going for Jedi I have only got 4 Mace shards in the past 3 days. It should be obvious that they lowered the drop rates on purpose .

I guess they must have overlooked me then. I unlocked Mace yesterday and I started farming him the day the Yoda event was announced. I only used the free energy plus any refills I could buy using crystals from dailies (so pretty much one refill per day). Today Mace is at 20/65 with 9 shards from this morning: 6 from 20 attempts at his cantina node plus 3/3 (yes, THREE FOR THREE!) from the mission.

All those who keep complaining about nerfed droprates - please keep a record of all your drops over a period of, say, two weeks. Make a note of which nodes/missions you attempted, for which characters and so on. You'll see how the rates even out in the end and are a pretty consistent 25-33%.

I'm par with that on Mace too

i used to have 33% now it down to 20%. :(

This thread is a joke. Like all threads complaining about the 'evil' devs and their stealth nerfs to drop rates. Just because you're to ignorant to understand probability, doesn't mean it's wrong. Just like in other threads, people toss numbers and data out to show drop rates are the same, but they are wrong 'cause 'duh...my drops are low...duh....' And 'duh....numbers scary....duh...'

Your bad drop rate for a few days is a cold streak. Nothing more. And yes, BAD COLD STREAKS HAPPEN. Some people are incredibly unlucky or lucky in life. Do remember the lotto being at a billion dollars plus in America recently? Like 3 people won. You know how small those odds are? But it happens.

You got an unfortunate cold streak.

I'm still averaging 10 Kylo shards per day with one refresh. Just yesterday I got 9/15 and that's not counting any that I may have picked up earlier.

"BlowinLoadz;129786" wrote:
I'm still averaging 10 Kylo shards per day with one refresh. Just yesterday I got 9/15 and that's not counting any that I may have picked up earlier.

Aren't you a lucky boy!

"M9silent;129742" wrote:
Some people are incredibly unlucky or lucky in life. Do remember the lotto being at a billion dollars plus in America recently? Like 3 people won. You know how small those odds are? But it happens.

I know what you mean. I'm married to a former catwalk model. She has the body of a goddess and the brains of an 8 year old. sometimes I think I'm on a hot streak and sometimes I think I'm on a cold streak.