Are Drop Rates Rigged?!

"Mephisto_style;c-2081941" wrote:

"Lysandrax;c-2081894" wrote:
Drop rate on gear type of stunguns is 20% i believe and all shards are absolutely 33%

Saying "never higher than 1/10" immediately debunks your claim also just fyi

I rolled 3/5 on stun guns twice tonight from 20 energy nodes. Holdo and Ship mats node. Was like, "OKAY BOOMER!"

or were you

"Desertfox1024;c-2081930" wrote:

"Lysandrax;c-2081894" wrote:
Drop rate on gear type of stunguns is 20% i believe and all shards are absolutely 33%

Saying "never higher than 1/10" immediately debunks your claim also just fyi

Goodness, so high?! I'm not kidding when I said never more than one out of ten. More than 1000 attempts.

I'm not kidding either. Statements like yours are no good. Be precise if you want people to believe you. How many shards dropped in how many attempts (when tracking consistently and not just selected good/bad attempts)? That's the only thing that matters.

"Whatelse73;c-2082106" wrote:

"cannonfodder_iv;c-2081984" wrote:
I just flipped a coin 10 times and it was tails 9 of them. I did it with a different coin, and I got 7 heads and 3 tails. I think my coins are rigged since it should have been 50/50.

In reality, welcome to probability theory and the Law of Large Numbers. I have 30 more Young Lando shards than Falcon shards, yet they're farmed on the same node? Rigged, or just my sample size?

In probability theory, the law of large numbers (LLN) is a theorem that describes the result of performing the same experiment a large number of times. According to the law, the average of the results obtained from a large number of trials should be close to the expected value and will tend to become closer to the expected value as more trials are performed.

Actually with coins you are a little more likely to get tails because the heads side is heavier than the tails side.

lol

hux has been dropping for me but redboi hasn't. I just want to know why CG rigs it to hurt me with one char but helps me with another?? What kind of a sick game are they playing with me?!?

"TJax;c-2082125" wrote:

I’ve been tracking rh Finn. Here is my data. 31.67% so far, variant due to small sample size. If I cut out the first week, I’m 34.25%. I’ll bet someone out there had awesome results week one, and less awesome since.

How are your JC fighter shard drops?

"TVF;c-2082139" wrote:

"TJax;c-2082125" wrote:

I’ve been tracking rh Finn. Here is my data. 31.67% so far, variant due to small sample size. If I cut out the first week, I’m 34.25%. I’ll bet someone out there had awesome results week one, and less awesome since.

How are your JC fighter shard drops?

No idea, haven’t tracked that part

I had a recent coin flipping conspiracy, was farming shock prod kyros to take GAS to G13 and had the computer kyro show up 17 times in a row in the GAC store. 4.25 days of the wrong kyro.

At first I thought CG hated me and then I realized they were just trying to help me G13 Rex faster ?

Probably, but officially, no.

"Mitch08;c-2082233" wrote:
Probably, but officially, no.

Officially, no, and based on actual data tracked, no.

Somewhat anecdotal, but I've been tracking shard drops just since the release of Shaak Ti on my two accounts:

Acct 1:
Shaak Ti: 280/1023 = 27.37%
Sith Trooper: 81/205 = 39.5%
Finn/Hux (not farming)

Acct 2:
Shaak Ti: 269/1005 = 26.76%
Sith Trooper: 64/200 = 32%
Hux: 60/200 = 30%
Finn: 39/135 = 28.9%

I have a suspicion that drop rates are slightly lower on completely F2P accounts (like both of mine), though it's founded on absolutely nothing. :D :D :D