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38 Replies
"ZAP;c-2112705" wrote:
"YaeVizsla;c-2112687" wrote:
"ZAP;c-2112679" wrote:
They told us in advance? That’s a stretch.
When they doubled how much energy we got, they said they normalized drop rates accordingly.
This is the first fleet table galactic chase since they did that.
So then why all the confusion and subsequent post from CG?
Even those like you who knew what they meant about normalizing drop rates that long ago weren’t here clarifying things.
It’s one thing to put things together after the fact, but that’s not how this went down and you know it. Saying they gave us advance notice is definitely a stretch in this instance.
lol first time on the forums?"ZAP;c-2112705" wrote:
"YaeVizsla;c-2112687" wrote:
"ZAP;c-2112679" wrote:
They told us in advance? That’s a stretch.
When they doubled how much energy we got, they said they normalized drop rates accordingly.
This is the first fleet table galactic chase since they did that.
So then why all the confusion and subsequent post from CG?
Even those like you who knew what they meant about normalizing drop rates that long ago weren’t here clarifying things.
It’s one thing to put things together after the fact, but that’s not how this went down and you know it. Saying they gave us advance notice is definitely a stretch in this instance.
You're correct it wasn't in advance. They told us after the event was already live for some people, depending on where they lived."Gifafi;c-2112722" wrote:
"ZAP;c-2112705" wrote:
"YaeVizsla;c-2112687" wrote:
"ZAP;c-2112679" wrote:
They told us in advance? That’s a stretch.
When they doubled how much energy we got, they said they normalized drop rates accordingly.
This is the first fleet table galactic chase since they did that.
So then why all the confusion and subsequent post from CG?
Even those like you who knew what they meant about normalizing drop rates that long ago weren’t here clarifying things.
It’s one thing to put things together after the fact, but that’s not how this went down and you know it. Saying they gave us advance notice is definitely a stretch in this instance.
lol first time on the forums?
Yes, looks like a fun place with lots of knowledgeable people.
Hi ?- Drop rates are very poor and needs to be changed.
"ZAP;c-2112705" wrote:
So then why all the confusion and subsequent post from CG?
Even those like you who knew what they meant about normalizing drop rates that long ago weren’t here clarifying things.
It’s one thing to put things together after the fact, but that’s not how this went down and you know it. Saying they gave us advance notice is definitely a stretch in this instance.
Just because it was forgotten, or the connection was not made does not change the fact that it happened and we were, in fact, told in advance."YaeVizsla;c-2112897" wrote:
"ZAP;c-2112705" wrote:
So then why all the confusion and subsequent post from CG?
Even those like you who knew what they meant about normalizing drop rates that long ago weren’t here clarifying things.
It’s one thing to put things together after the fact, but that’s not how this went down and you know it. Saying they gave us advance notice is definitely a stretch in this instance.
Just because it was forgotten, or the connection was not made does not change the fact that it happened and we were, in fact, told in advance.
K"Gifafi;c-2112682" wrote:
"BobcatSkywalker;c-2112505" wrote:
"YaeVizsla;c-2111801" wrote:
The last update was three days ago. There is no way you have a remotely decent dataset in that time.
Time doesnt matter. Attempts do.
If he did 1000 sims before and drop rate was 33% and in last 3 days he did 50 sims and his drop rate was 6% he has 3nough data to make a claim
50 sims is enough? lol?
What do you consider is enough?- I unlocked my galactic chase yesterday!
"BobcatSkywalker;c-2112995" wrote:
"Gifafi;c-2112682" wrote:
"BobcatSkywalker;c-2112505" wrote:
"YaeVizsla;c-2111801" wrote:
The last update was three days ago. There is no way you have a remotely decent dataset in that time.
Time doesnt matter. Attempts do.
If he did 1000 sims before and drop rate was 33% and in last 3 days he did 50 sims and his drop rate was 6% he has 3nough data to make a claim
50 sims is enough? lol?
What do you consider is enough?
it depends on some variables of the curve. if its a very standard curve 30, but the next rule of thumb when its less normal, 100. but those are just rules of thumb, not 100% standards."BobcatSkywalker;c-2112995" wrote:
What do you consider is enough?
That is a more complicated question.
However, your example- a 6% drop rate in 50 attempts- is not even 99% confident that the drop rate is a positive number, and is low enough that even 1 hit is a large swing in the rate. That dataset is only three hits.
It's also important to keep in mind there is an enormous playerbase. Relying on people who had bad runs to self-report is not useful because somebody is expected to get bad runs. Your example of 50 rolls is a couple of days. Thousands of players are expected to get a bottom 1% bad couple of days this week. Several players will get one in a million bad couple of days this quarter. Somebody is going to get a one in a million bad couple of days this year.
It would have to be a substantial dataset properly compiled to be at all convincing. And like all things in statistics, there is not a magic number that's "good enough." The larger the number, the more persuasive.
Further, the statistical standard of 30 before you can draw anything generally assumes trials are difficult to get. That is not the case. There are hundreds of die rolls per day. Larger sample sizes are very easy to compile. When I tracked my Geonosian Brood Alpha drops, I got 145 trials in a week on my own, and that's off an energy we get half as much of and which costs twice as much, on a node that costs 60% more energy than the fleet nodes we generally grind gear from. 50 is not terribly persuasive, but get me an actual, properly compiled 50 trial dataset and we can start talking.
But that's academic, as the number of properly compiled trials supporting the OP in this thread is zero. Just one screenshot a fifth the size selected in a biased manner and an informal sentiment poll.
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