MobileGamer Rey's Hero's Event w/CrazyExcuses

Although I respect her theory and I even support it, having a coding hack for simming is not that hard: the server receives a request for a number of trials, nothing prevent the servers to have different distribution of rewards for number received.

In a more technical terms, nothing prevents devs to create conditional distribution given the number of sims and make sure that the join distribution still has an overall drop rate of 1/3 by punishing even numbers of sims.

I agree it would totally silly and unprofessional to do it, but this is not impossible, differential pricing exists after all.

And if you really want a code snippet (in R as I assume she uses it):

# Let's say you get a shard if the sample gives a 1 
# assume p < 0.5
compute_shard_rewards <- function(sim, p) {
  
  m <- sim*p + min(1, 0.1/abs(sim - 1/p+1e-8))
  s <- sim*p*(1-p)
  return(max(0, min(sim, floor(rnorm(sim, m, s))))
}

I did not tune it to have expected value of one third, but I guess you can do with a bit more of time :-)

I still say this is complete non sense and my guess devs just draw from multiple random independent coin flip.

reworked algorithm to take out the hard coded equality.