Forum Discussion

10 years ago

My perspective on probability

I don't want to talk about scientific terms or formulas or algorithms or any of that technicality. I just want to express, based on my own experience and observation, what different percentages can...

feedback

mattomabs

10 years ago

"sid;179494" wrote:
Past results do not influence future results. One should base their expectations accordingly.

Given a 1/3 shard drop rate:
If I get 0/9, then I am sad and expect a 3/9 drop rate in the future.
If I get 5/9, then I am happy and expect a 3/9 drop rate in the future.

Assuming the computer coding is written such that each battle is an independent event.