So I tracked 2,000 drops
The purpose was to get an idea of their model and figure out what was the best way to obtain the infinite amount of gear required. It wasn't really to find out what their exact "drop rate" is. If y...
Forum Discussion
Thank you so much for the work and the explanations. Finally something with real numbers and reliable statistics.
I would like to ask about of one the points you made: You noticed quite long stretches of lower or higher drop rate. When having a probability like 1/3 or 1/5, such deviations should be extremely rare. Yet, they happen and often enough, but in the long run they correct themselves to the expected drop rate.
If you have a 6 side dice (similar to a purple drop rate), less 100 throws should be enough to determine whether is loaded or not with a confidence level of more than 95%.
I would like to ask to a statician or a programmer whether is possible that whether the probability for a particular fluctuates within a period of time, and in the very long run the integrated probability is the expected.
I would like to ask about of one the points you made: You noticed quite long stretches of lower or higher drop rate. When having a probability like 1/3 or 1/5, such deviations should be extremely rare. Yet, they happen and often enough, but in the long run they correct themselves to the expected drop rate.
If you have a 6 side dice (similar to a purple drop rate), less 100 throws should be enough to determine whether is loaded or not with a confidence level of more than 95%.
I would like to ask to a statician or a programmer whether is possible that whether the probability for a particular fluctuates within a period of time, and in the very long run the integrated probability is the expected.
