Player distribution graph

No, it means you are the bottom of the highest lobby.  My games are similar although for some reason my team is usually towards the top half despite that fact that I am a solidy average player.

I think this graph is a sugar pill meant to shut us all up about how crappy the matchmaking is.  It has backfired spectacularly, IMO.

Agreed, I think they put the data in to assuage peoples' frustrations, but if you really understand what the graphs are saying then the only thing a reasonable person could be is MORE FRUSTRATED. My own personal red line (from no filling) has moved this season from dead center to extreme right, and now just yesterday and today, my fill matches look almost exactly like the graph above. So essentially Respawn is telling me that I, a veteran day-one player with close to 40k matches, have gone from middle to worst to well above average in just the span of a few weeks. I could come up with various different rationales for how the skill assessment algorithm might have come up with that wild swing, but it seems just as likely that the system makes it all up as it goes along. It needs to fill lobbies and doesn't want mediocre players to feel hopeless so they just sort of lie to them about where they are on the graph and who they should be playing with and against.

And that hypothesis is reinforced when, in every single match, my enemies play like really good, well coordinated stacks, and my teammates are the kind of players who may or may not be "good" at the game, but who will not alter their playstyle by so much as an inch to compensate for a reluctant teammate or the stiff competition that the graph is promising them, even though one teammate refuses to even drop with them. It's all just a self-reinforcing spiral of doom. But it isn't really all that different than it ever was. Ash just makes it feel worse.